The draft is three weeks out and there are some trends that appear to be coming.
- High school is where the top prospects are. Teams are very risk adverse to high school players especially pitchers. But in this draft this is where the strength of the draft is. There is also some strength in outfield high school players.
- The college arms are about as bad as I can recall. The number 1 player Puk from Florida has great upside and potential but hasn’t been the Friday starter for most of his career. Now I will say I wanted the Yankees to make a run at him 3 years ago. But after him there is a lot of relievers turned starters in the college pitching ranks. It just isn’t a great class for them but you will see a lot get pushed up draft boards as teams view them as “safe” picks.
- SS is a barren position this year. Last year we had three taken in the first few picks of the draft. This year there one that will be taken in the first round. While Perez could be a special player he is a long ways away. There isn’t a great college SS this year either.
- The Yankees are in somewhat of a weird position at 18. They might be too far down if teams buck the trend and go high school. If that’s the case I’m not sure what they do as there isn’t a great 2nd tier of college players available. It will be very interesting to see if college pitchers start to trend up. Grabbing a higher ceiling high school arm probably will be their best bet. It will just be if they want to do it.